December 18, 2018

Nic’s Picks – Championship Week

Nic's Picks

Week 13 – (6-4)

Overall – (71-36)

Weekly SUR Pickem – Conference Championship Week

Weekly SUR Pick'em

Matt and Chris battle it out for the title, while I hope to achieve some sense of respectability.

Weekly SUR Pick’em – Week 12

Weekly SUR Pick'emThe crew is back for another week and my picks are still bad.

Nic’s Picks – Week 11

Week 10 – (6-2)

Overall – (58-23)

Nic's Picks

Weekly SUR Pick’em

Weekly SUR Pick'em

The SUR crew of Matt Wilczewski, Marty Coleman and Chris Cox pick the week’s featured games against the spread and share a million star lead pipe lock. Feel free to get rich…at your own expense.


Weekly SUR Pick’em

Weekly SUR Pick'em
The SUR crew of Matt Wilczewski, Marty Coleman and Chris Cox pick the week’s featured games against the spread and share a million star lead pipe lock. Feel free to get rich…at your own expense.

Vegas Confidential: Tigers vs. Pack & tale of two Kansas teams

Vegas Confidential

Weekly SUR Pick’em – Week 6

Weekly SUR Pick'em

The SUR crew of Matt Wilczewski, Marty Coleman and Chris Cox pick the week’s featured games against the spread and share a million star lead pipe lock. Feel free to get rich…at your own expense.

Records:
Marty: 25-21; Locks – 2-2-1 Matt: 27-19; Locks – 2-3 Chris: 24-22; Locks – 2-3

#3 Clemson (-17) at Boston College
MC: Boston College (Clemson wins 31-16)
MW: Boston College (Clemson wins 27-10)
CC: Clemson 38-10

Texas (+10) vs. #20 Oklahoma (in Dallas)
MC: Oklahoma
MW: Oklahoma
CC: Oklahoma

LSU at #18 Florida (+3)
MC: Florida
MW: LSU
CC: Florida

#25 Virginia Tech at #17 North Carolina (-2.5)
MC: Virginia Tech
MW: Virginia Tech
CC: UNC

#9 Tennessee at #8 Texas A&M (-7)
MC: Texas A&M
MW: Texas A&M
CC: Tennessee

#1 Alabama at #16 Arkansas (+14)
MC: Arkansas
MW: Arkansas
CC: Arkansas

Georgia at South Carolina (+7)
MC: South Carolina
MW: South Carolina
CC: South Carolina

#23 Florida State at #10 Miami (-3)
MC: FSU
MW: Miami
CC: FSU

Gambling Lock of the Week
MC:  FSU (+3) at Miami.  Using a lock of the week on a 3-2 team that has an empty bandwagon may seem like lunacy.  Another way to look at it is: There’s no home field advantage, FSU has the better players and is desperate. Also, it’s not like the Seminoles are losing to chumps like the ones Miami has beat, either.  If the Noles leave south Florida 3-3 and 0-3 in the ACC look out.

MW: 6 point teaser: VT +8.5/Texas A&M -1(-110) : Two straight winning weeks after putting straight spread and over/under wagers to the side. Going away from my recent moneyline parlays this time and trying out a 6 point teaser. Bumping the Hokies from 2.5 to 8.5 and taking them after UNC’s thrilling last second victory at FSU. Hope here is that UNC is a little overvalued and has a bit of a letdown following last weekend’s festivities. I’ll pair them with the Aggies, going from -7 to -1, and fading an undefeated Vols team coming off the hail mary victory in Athens. 

CC: OVER 57.5 in Tennessee vs. Texas A&M. If I were in your shoes I would actually bet the under. My locks have special powers that actually reverse the outcome to be the exact opposite of what I say. Given my pick I wouldn’t be surprised if these two high power offenses put up 16 points combined.

Nic’s Picks – Week 6

Nic's PicksEditor’s Note: Nic Mills is a senior PRTM major, student assistant with Clemson Athletic Communication, (formerly known as the Clemson Sports Information Department) and has a long family history of Clemson grads. Nic has also been an intern with The Mickey Plyler Show and Out of Bounds on 105.5 The Roar each weekday morning. You can follow Nic on Twitter @mrnicmills.

Week 5: (6-2)

Total: (27-14)

#3) Clemson (5-0) at Boston College (3-2), Friday, October 7th, 2016 ESPN 7:30 – Clemson games at Boston College are traditionally sloppy affairs and BC traditionally plays Clemson tough no matter the location. Clemson has won 41 consecutive games versus teams not ranked in either poll and that streak will continue here. Clemson won’t cover the 17 point spread and I will give you three reasons why. One is Clemson will be tired and not up to full speed after the emotional game against Louisville, plus it is a second short week in a three week span, two it is the Red Bandana game for BC meaning that it is the one game all season that will probably be a sell out for BC and three is BC’s defense is pretty salty. Clemson 27 – Boston College 10

Texas (2-2) vs #20) Oklahoma (2-2), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 FS1 12 – Well I guess we jumped the gun a little bit with Texas being back after that Notre Dame win, the Irish aren’t nearly the good win that we thought. Both teams come in with records of 2-2, one is coming off of a big win (OU) the other coming off of a big loss (Texas). Charlie Strong and Bob Stoops both need to win this game badly. Charlie Strong is taking over the defense but is one week enough to get the team playing well enough to win. Shane Buchele and the offense will score for the ‘horns it is just a matter of getting OU’s offense off the field as well. I thing Texas rallies behind Strong and they get another win in the Red River Rivalry and at least save Strong’s job for another week. Texas 34 – Oklahoma 27

#25) Virginia Tech (3-1) at #17) North Carolina (4-1), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 3:30 – If the Hokies and Heels get this game played I think I am picking the Hokies. North Carolina has a good offense and I expect them to get some points but I like what I am seeing from Jarod Evans and the Fuente offense in Blacksburg, plus they still have Bud Foster at D-coordinator. Virginia Tech 28 – North Carolina 24

#9) Tennessee (5-0) at #8) Texas A&M (5-0), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 CBS 3:30 – If you actually saw this being a top 10 showdown in College Station at the beginning of the season, impressive. I keep waiting on both of the teams to choke and neither has, yet. I think both of these teams lose twice, at least, and the Volunteers get started first this weekend. I have to go off of what I have seen and there is no way Tennessee will overcome the early deficit this week if they get off to another slow start. Texas A&M 34 – Tennessee 21

#1) Alabama (5-0) at #16) Arkansas (4-1), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 ESPN 7 – This seems to be the sexy upset pick of the week, I know Roy Philpott called for it, but I’m not buying it. Yes I know that Brett Bielema has kept getting closer and closer to beating Saban each year but it just isn’t going to happen. ‘Bama’s defense is too good and the only way you are going to score on them is with a DW4 or LJ8 at QB. Arkansas runs the type of offense that Alabama is designed so perfectly to stop, plus the Tide actually have a play maker at QB instead of a game manager this year which makes them scary on offense. ‘Bama 34 – Arkansas 20

Georgia (3-2) at South Carolina (2-3), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 SEC Network 7:30 – So I’ve seen a couple South Carolina fans feeling frisky, saying they are going to upset Georgia this week. I guess seeing Georgia lose two in a row has given them some hope, guessing they forgot about the offense they have, that has scored 70 points all season long, what are they just magically going to learn how to score? They need to be able to score at least 28 because Georgia will put at least 27 on the board. Will Muschamp may have been the BMOC as a player, but I think time will show Kirby Smart is the better coach. Georgia 31 – South Carolina 17

#23) Florida State (3-2) at #10) Miami (4-0), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 ABC 8 – The Seminoles have no defense and that makes the offense feel extra pressure, knowing that they have to go out there and score 40 points just so they have a chance to win, it is tough. The ‘Canes have a six game losing streak right now to make sure ends, they are honoring “The U” plus they have a pretty good defense and QB even if they aren’t tested yet this season. Mark Richt has the Hurricanes on the right path and even though Hurricane Matthew is going through the area, the only Hurricane the ‘Noles need to be worrying about play football for the University of Miami. Miami 38 – FSU 24

Washington State (2-2) at #15) Stanford (3-1), Saturday, October 8th, 2016 ESPN 10:30 – So a Mike Leach coached team is coming off of a 280 yard rushing performance versus Oregon last week, just to give you an idea of how bad Oregon’s defense is. The Stanford offense still isn’t clicking and we know that Christian McCaffrey is a human being after last week. Stanford needs to win to keep pace in case Washington falters twice down the stretch but I don’t think they will, Wazzu nearly pulled the upset last year and this year they will get the job done. Wazzu 28 – Stanford 27

 

Weekly SUR Pick’em

Weekly SUR Pick'em
The SUR crew of Matt Wilczewski, Marty Coleman and Chris Cox pick the week’s featured games against the spread and share a million star lead pipe lock. Feel free to get rich…at your own expense.

Records:
Marty: 20-18; Locks – 1-2-1 Matt: 22-16; Locks – 1-3 Chris: 22-16; Locks – 2-2

#7 Stanford (+3) at #10 Washington
MC: Washington
MW: Washington
CC: Stanford

#8 Wisconsin (+10.5) at #4 Michigan
MC: Michigan
MW: Wisconsin
CC: Michigan

North Carolina (+11) at #12 Florida State
MC: FSU
MW: UNC
CC: UNC

#11 Tennessee (-3) at # 25 Georgia
MC: Tennessee
MW: Georgia
CC: Tennessee

#22 Texas (+2.5) at Oklahoma State
MC: Oklahoma State
MW: Oklahoma State
CC: Texas

#9 Texas A&M (-17.5) at South Carolina
MC: South Carolina
MW: Texas A&M
CC: Texas A&M

Oklahoma (-3.5) at #21 TCU
MC: Oklahoma
MW: TCU
CC: TCU

Missouri (+13) at LSU
MC: Mizzou
MW: Mizzou
CC: Mizzou

#3 Louisville (-2) at #5 Clemson
MC: Clemson 38-34
MW: Clemson 34-31
CC: Clemson (Louisville wins 35-34)

Gambling Lock of the Week
MC: Texas/Oklahoma State Over 71.5 – Texas has played 2 P5 teams and has given up 43 and 50 points and there are questions about Vance Bedford’s short term job stability. Oklahoma State is desperate for a win and while the Cowboys only scored 24 last week, they did have 492 total yards. They cash in this week.

MW: Michigan ML/Washington ML(-103) – Sticking with a moneyline parlay after finally finding the win column last week. Michigan gets a banged up Wisconsin team coming in off a major road win and Washington welcomes in Stanford, hot off their late game win at UCLA. Tough spot for both Wisconsin and Stanford to handle back to back tough road matchups.

CC: Texas A&M -17.5 versus South Carolina. This line opening at 13.5 was practically giving away money. I still feel good about the line where it’s at now given that the Gamecocks are only averaging 14 points per game while the Aggies are averaging 43. Texas A&M will also be the most talented opponent the Gamecocks have faced this season by a long shot.