May 22, 2013

College Baseball Contenders (as of 3/25/12)

March 28, 2012 by Leave a Comment

Strictly speaking there are no contenders as Florida’s ERA move just a tad too high and South Carolina’s stats took a nosedive (with the exception of their SoS) as the two teams battled last weekend.

 

Team Record Fielding ERA Batting Slugging SoS
Florida 22-2 2 25 50 4 23
South Carolina 17-7 15 19 120 88 93


 
Despite these shortcomings these two continue to look like the teams to beat as we approach the midway point.  Sure there are some other teams with glossy numbers (such as Kentucky and Georgia), but those teams have SoS issues (Kentucky is 171st in SoS and Georgia is 208) that exclude them from the elite group at this point.

Last week I said “Florida was the clear favorite at this point” and that still stands as the Gators took 2 of 3 from the Gamecocks in Columbia, SC.

 

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Week 14 Picks

December 1, 2011 by Leave a Comment

By now you’ve come to realize that picking games isn’t my strong suit.  A 2-6 record last week leaves me at 39-42 on the season (48.1%) and 9-4 in picks of the week (69.2%).  Yet, I continue which means I am probably looking to the end of the regular season and championship games more than Randy Edsall in the fourth quarter last week.

The detail of the Clemson-Virginia Tech game is coming tomorrow, but suffice it to say I think the Tigers rebound and cover.  Will they win?  Tune in tomorrow to find out.

Favorite Dog Spread O/U
Virginia Tech (N) Clemson (N) +7 52.5
LSU (N) Georgia (N) +13.5 46
Oklahoma State (H) Oklahoma (A) -3 78
Baylor (H) Texas (A) -2.5 54.5
Wisconsin (N) Michigan State  -9.5 55

Pick of the week: Take the Over 46 in the LSU - Georgia game.

Filed Under: Clemson Football, College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , ,

Week 13 Picks

November 24, 2011 by Leave a Comment

A 4-3 week in week 12 means we are clicking along at a 37-36 on the year and 8-4 picks of the week.  Maybe you noticed no pick in the Clemson – South Carolina game.  There’s a reason for that.  My analysis (more on that tomorrow), done without the benefit of the spread, came out exactly the same as the spread, therefore we went with the over/under for the game.

The Georgia – Georgia Tech game is an interesting one to me, as is the Clemson – South Carolina game for obvious reasons – Clemson and Georgia have championship games next week, while their rivals don’t.

Favorite Dog Spread O/U
South Carolina (H) Clemson (A) 4 50
Texas A&M (H) Texas (A)
 -7.5 53.5
LSU (H) Arkansas (A)
 +12 52
Georgia (A) Georgia Tech (H)
 +6 54.5
Wisconsin (H) Penn State (A)
 -14.5 49
Alabama (A)
 Auburn (H)
 +21 47
Florida State (A)
 Florida (H)
 +2.5 45
Virginia Tech (A)
 Virginia (H)
 +5 67

Pick of the week: Take the Over 52 in the LSU – Arkansas game.

Filed Under: Clemson Football, College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Week 9 Picks

October 27, 2011 by Leave a Comment

Another 2-4 week pretty much means that you shouldn’t take anything from this post, except who not to take.  A slump is an understatement at this point and last week it even crept into the pick of the week.  Onward I trudge towards the inevitable.

Point spread winners are bolded. Entertainment purposes only.

Favorite Dog Spread O/U
Clemson (A) Georgia Tech (H) +3.5 63.5
Oklahoma St. (H) Baylor (A) +14 79
Oklahoma (A) Kansas State (H) +13.5 58.5
Georgia (N) Florida (N) -3 49
Stanford (A) Southern Cal (H) -7.5 60

Pick of the week: Take the Over 58.5 in the Oklahoma vs. Kansas State game.

Filed Under: Clemson Football, College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , ,

Week 2 Picks

September 8, 2011 by Leave a Comment

With the Clemson game off the board (analysis and predicted score coming tomorrow) due to the Terriers being FCS we turn to other games this week.

We went an outstanding 4-3 in week 1, including hitting our pick of the week, the over in the Georgia/Boise State game.
Here are our picks for week 2. In the South Carolina/Georgia game we took the over 51.5 only (not the points for either side).

Our pick of the week is the over in the Auburn/Mississippi State game.  We think Texas wins, but doesn’t cover the 7 and pick Utah, Auburn and Michigan as outright winners (though that does not count against our record).

Point spread winners bolded. Entertainment purposes only, please don’t bet the mortgage.

Favorite Dog Spread O/U
Alabama (A) Penn State (H) -11 42
South Carolina (A) Georgia (H) 3 51.5
Texas (H) BYU (A) +7 48.5
Mississippi State (A) Auburn (H) +6.5 56
N.C. State (H) Wake Forest -2 49.5
USC (H) Utah (A) +9.5 52.5
Notre Dame (A) Michigan (H) +3.5 55.5

Pick of the week: Take the over 56 in Auburn vs. Mississippi State.

Filed Under: Clemson Football, College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Week 1 Picks

September 1, 2011 by Leave a Comment
mgm_sports_book

You’ll have to take our word for it, but we saw Oregon as a value pick even before the shenanigans at LSU came to light.  I took the Miami/Maryland game off the board because of the wide variety of differences in point spreads and even which team was favored at press time. 

Clemson is borderline here and that game could go either way spread-wise in our analysis, but it wouldn’t be football season without getting burned by the Tigers so week 1 is as good as any to get that out of the way. 

I’ve heard many pundits say that TCU should watch out for Baylor and while it’s true that Baylor is at home and TCU is breaking in a new quarterback, my money (not literally) is on TCU until proven otherwise.

The tough part about doing something like this is that it seems like you have to keep up with the police blotter more than the injury report. I’m keeping the Tulsa/Oklahoma game here despite the arrest of one of Tulsa’s better offensive weapons because, well this is just for fun. In real life I would run from it. Fast.

 

Point spread winners bolded.  Entertainment purposes only, please don’t bet the mortgage.

Favorite Dog Spread O/U
Clemson (H) Troy (A)   -16 55
TCU (A) Baylor (H)  -4.5 56
Oklahoma (H) Tulsa (A)  +25 64.5
South Carolina (N) East Carolina (N)  +20.5 62
Oregon (N) LSU (N)  -4 55
Boise State (N) Georgia (N)  -3.5 51

Pick of the week:  Take the over 51 in Georgia and Boise State.

 

Filed Under: Clemson Football, College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , ,