Earlier in the week I posted numbers that showed that Rod McDowell has performed admirably in comparison to Andre Ellington in 2012. One area that I pointed out that McDowell was not as successful as Ellington is the percentage of negative rushes (for that analysis I used “0 or negative yardage”, for this one I am using only negative rushes).
Because he has so many carries than the other backs McDowell is bound to have more negative plays, which is why we use the % instead. (Tajh Boyd’s numbers below excludes sacks).
What that number, 13.0% means is that McDowell loses yardage on about one of every 7.7 carries.
One could argue that Davidson’s numbers are so low because he is facing worn down or second and third team defenses when he plays. I get that (especially the worn down part), but also realize that Davidson typically plays with second and third team linemen blocking for him.
Put into context along side the numbers posted Monday and the picture of McDowell as a runner becomes a little clearer. He’s a big play back that’s hit or miss. He may gain 20 yards or he may lose 3 and consistency has not been part of his game to this point.
It may also help explain why McDowell has only 5 carries on third downs all season.