I’m not splitting the atom when I tell you that the more turnovers a team has the more that team’s odds of winning decrease. Still, it’s instructive to look at the numbers for many reasons, such as finding the tipping point where the number of turnovers increases the odds of losing to greater than 50%. That appears to be 2 for 2012.
The fact is that the vast majority of teams (80.64%) are going to have at least 1 turnover in a given game. The key is not getting to two. When you get to 2 turnovers your odds of winning are less than 50% and they drop steadily and precipitously for each additional turnover .