October 1, 2014

Rushing Metrics – 4 Games

Clemson Tigers running back D.J. Howard runs the ball in the third quarter.

The Tigers continue to struggle on the ground, especially on second down. Deshaun Watson has not been an explosive runner (came close with an 11 yard run against North Carolina), but he has been effective.

Columns beginning with “0/NegYards %” and those to the right of it sometimes equal more than 100% because a 30 yard run is also a 20 yard run and a 10 yard run. However, 0/Neg Yards + 1-4 yards + 5-9 Yards +10+ Yards should always = 100%.

Success % = A touchdown or 50% of yards needed for first down on first down, a touchdown or 70% on second down and a touchdown or first down on 3rd and 4th downs.

Kneel down plays are excluded, but other “team” rushes (i.e. bad snap) are included.

Rushing Metrics 2014 4

Receiver Details – 4 Games

Clemson vs North Carolina tiger walk

Germone Hopper’s big day puts him at the top of the yards per target and yards per reception list, while Artavis Scott is the most targeted per snap played.

Receiver Detail 14 41

Quarterback Drive Charts – 4 Games

Deshaun FSU

The charts below include detail of each drive in the North Carolina game while the “Avg” and “Totals” lines include information for the entire season.

Deshaun Watson has led the Tigers to touchdowns on 40% of the drives he has quarterbacked.  If that isn’t enough, if you take out two “drives” (1 play 3 yards at FSU and 1 kneel down vs. UNC) that ended the last two first halves that number moves up to 43%.

The Tigers average 6.9 yards per play with Watson at the helm.

Deshaun Watson

Watson Drives 2014 4

Cole Stoudt

Stoudt Drives 2014 4

Quarterbacks by Distance – 4 Games

Clemson vs North Carolina tiger walk

If my back of the envelope math is correct Deshaun Watson is 19/28 (67.9%) for 615 yards with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception on throws of 16 or more yards. That works out to 22 yards per attempt and 32.4 yards per completion.

QBs by Distance 2014 4

Lack of Creativity in Short Yardage

Chad Morris

Editors Note: Thanks to Brandon Rink of orangeandwhite.com for reminding me that I had this data available and suggesting that I share it.

Chad Morris is known for his creativity. Over the last 43 games we’ve seen a myriad of funky formations (tackles split out?), inventive plays and idiosyncrasies from Clemson’s offensive coordinator. Morris has been unconventional, nonconforming and unapologetic as the yards and points accumulated. Pedal to the metal. “Foot on the gas”, as Morris says.

What Morris hasn’t been is creative on 3rd and 4th and very short.

Short Yardage 2014 3

In the Morris era the Tigers have run the ball 96.3% of the time on 3rd and 1 and 93.1% of the time on 4th and 1 (goal to go included in both). Everyone knows what’s coming, as did Florida State last Saturday in overtime. Adam Humphries crossing behind Deshaun Watson at the snap? Pfffft. No FSU defender paid attention, because it’s 4th and 1 and Clemson’s running up the middle.

I have no problem with the shotgun formation. You do what you do best and put your players in the best position to achieve success.

Running up the middle is not what Clemson does best.

Especially when everyone knows what’s coming.

The irony is is that in those 43 games and 110 opportunities Clemson has passed the ball 5 times and been successful each time.

Defensive Success Rate/Third Down Stops

Beasley vs. FSU

Here’s a look at the success opponents offenses have had by down vs. the Clemson defense in 2014.

Success % = A touchdown or 50% of yards needed for first down on first down, a touchdown or 70% on second down and a touchdown or first down on 3rd and 4th downs.

Kneel down plays are excluded (1 against Georgia – a first down, and 1 vs. Florida State at the end of regulation on 3rd down).

2014 Defensive Success 3

The Tigers defense has gotten better as the downs progress.

Here is a look at who is making the stops and defending passes on third downs to force punts.  Vic Beasley is separating.

2014 3rd Down Stops 3

Episode 24: Recapping 1-2 Start & Looking Forward to UNC

PodcastGraphic300X300

Brandon Rink of orangeandwhite.com joins me to discuss the Tigers 1-2 start, Dabo’s record vs. Florida State and South Carolina and looks ahead to North Carolina and the much anticipated dawning of the Deshaun Watson era.

You can also download current and previous episodes and subscribe to the Podcast via iTunes by clicking here.

Thanks to Brandon for participating and Clemson graduate Adam Eargle for the podcast artwork and all SUR graphics.  Need a graphic artist? Check out some of Adam’s work here.

Receiver Metrics – 3 Games

Clemson vs S.C. State football - Mike Williams

An interesting dynamic developing at the tight end position with Jay Jay McCollough earning the start this week and having more targets, receptions, yards and touchdowns than Jordan Leggett through 3 games.

Some genius (me) wondered if Mike Williams could replace Martavis Bryant’s gaudy 19.7 yard average per reception of 2013 and Artavis Scott is nipping at his heels.

I’ve been waiting for a year and a half for Germone Hopper to break out.  I wouldn’t call his effort against FSU a breakout, but it sure was a step in the right direction.

Both Wayne Gallman and Adam Choice look like viable threats to catch the ball out of the backfield.
2014 Receiver Detail 3

Rushing Metrics – 3 Games

Gallman FSU

Columns beginning with “0/NegYards %” and those to the right of it sometimes equal more than 100% because a 30 yard run is also a 20 yard run and a 10 yard run. However, 0/Neg Yards + 1-4 yards + 5-9 Yards +10+ Yards should always = 100%.

Success % = A touchdown or 50% of yards needed for first down on first down, a touchdown or 70% on second down and a touchdown or first down on 3rd and 4th downs.

Kneel down plays are excluded, but other “team” rushes (i.e. bad snap) are included.

2014 Rushing Metrics 3

Updated Quarterback Drive Charts

Deshaun FSU

Updated to include the FSU game.  As expected, Deshaun Watson drifts back towards the mean a bit. Still, far outpacing Cole Stoudt at 6.9 yards per play and 16.3% explosive plays, but not the gaudy numbers of the first two games.

NOTE – Only series against FSU are detailed below, but the “Avg” and “Totals” rows include data for all three games.

Deshaun WatsonWatson Drive Chart 2014 3
Cole Stoudt
Stoudt Drive Chart 2014 3