October 25, 2014

Offensive and Defensive Success by Game

Random Numbers

These graphs confirm the eyeball test: Up and down season for the offense and steady for the defense.

Kneel down plays are excluded from analysis.

Offensive Success Rate by Game

Offensive Success by Game 2014 7B

Offensive Success Chart 2014 7


 Opponent Success Rate by Game

Defensive Success by Game 2014 7B

Defensive Success Chart 2014 7

Defensive Drive Analysis – 7 Games

BV 2014 1

The defense has done a remarkable job of getting off the field.  Only two of 99 drives against the Clemson defense have lasted more than 5 minutes.  Only two more have lasted between 4 and 4:59.  That means 95 of 99 (96%) of opponent drives have lasted less than 4 minutes.

That’s not always good as the Tigers have given up some quick scores (Georgia and North Carolina come to mind), but for the vast majority of drives that’s a good thing.  The defense does it’s thing and gets the ball back quickly.
Defensive Drive Analysis 2014 7

Rushing Metrics – 7 Games

Davidson vs BC

The numbers below reflect the struggles of the Clemson rushing game this season, highlighted by the fact that Cole Stoudt has a higher percentage of explosive rushes (excluding sacks) of any rusher on the roster.

The loss of Adam Choice, really strains the depth of a position that has been decimated injuries and wasn’t a strength to begin with.

C.J. Davidson had a monstrous fumble in Tallahassee, but that’s in the past and looking forward his numbers are the best of the bunch for the next two games.

When Deshaun Watson returns I expect more from the ground game, because Watson’s ability to be an effective runner opens up lanes that haven’t been there otherwise.
Rushing Metrics 2014 7

Episode 28: Looking back at BC, ahead to Syracuse and mounting injuries


Brandon Rink of orangeandwhite.com joins me to discuss press box food in Boston, a rash of injuries at Clemson and manage to fit in a preview of Syracuse and yes, predictions from both of us.

You can also download current and previous episodes and subscribe to the Podcast via iTunes by clicking here.

Thanks to Brandon for participating and Clemson graduate Adam Eargle for the podcast artwork and all SUR graphics.  Need a graphic artist? Check out some of Adam’s work here.


Offensive Drive Analysis – 7 Games

Clemson football vs S.C. State - Chad Morris

The Tigers managed two touchdowns and a field goal on 13 drives (excluded final drive with 3 kneel downs) at Boston College, but did manage 400 yards against the #8 (at the time) defense in the country under the leadership of Cole Stoudt.

The longest drive of the afternoon, in terms of plays and time of possession, ended in a punt after 14 plays and 5:21 off the clock.

It’s really amazing to think that of 97 drives the Tigers have only had 4 that have lasted 5 minutes or more, but the lack of a consistent running game is obviously a factor.


Offensive Drive Analysis 2014 7

Receiver Detail – 7 Games

Scott BC

Mike Williams and Artavis Scott continue to lead the way. While Williams has one more target than Scott, Scott averages a target every 5.8 snaps he’s on the field and 80.9% of the passes (most of the behind the line of scrimmage variety) are completed.

The Tigers will miss Jordan Leggett.  While the averages for Leggett and Jay Jay McCollough are similar, Leggett has been more of a big play threat.

Receivers 2014 7A

Defensive Stops on 3rd and 4th Down

Crawford BC

Over the last 3 games the Clemson defense has held opponents to 6 of 45 on third downs (13.3%) and now leads the nation in third down conversion percentage defense.

A bad face mask penalty aside, Gary Peters continues to excel.

Defensive Stops 2014 7

Cole Stoudt Drive Chart – 7 Games

Stoudt vs BC 2

Cole Stoudt had a good, but not outstanding game against Boston College and that improved some of the numbers below a tad.

In particular, the third down conversion rate went up, which was a huge factor in the game (32 yard pass to Mike Williams came on third and 10).  The explosive play % also edged up.

The average ranking of defenses faced for Stoudt is 44 and ironically Syracuse comes in at number 43 in total defense.
Stoudt Drive Chart 2014 7

Clemson Offensive Pace – 7 Games (Updated)


Updated per corrected box score

The Tigers ran 81 plays and gained 398 yards, dropping below the 400 mark on the last series of “victory formation” plays.  Clemson held the ball for 35:42 and the offensive pace was the second slowest of the season at 26.4 seconds 31:05.

Clemson Pace Chart 2014 7DClemson Pace Graph 2014 7D

Cole Stoudt by Distance – 7 Games

Stoudt vs BC 2014

There was some weirdness in the play by play and box score data (play by play shows the spike near the end of the first half a “team rush”, for example), so these numbers may need to be adjusted in the future but they match the official stats currently.

Stoudt by Distance 2014 7