May 20, 2013

Stats Through 44 and Why Tyler Krieger’s Bat Is Important

Tyler Krieger

Tyler Krieger began the season as a slick fielding, light hitting shortstop. Twenty games into the season Krieger was hitting .212 with 6 RBI in 66 at bats.Twenty four games later Krieger sits at .286, which equates to a .341 average over those 24 games.

Krieger has come up with clutch hits, the game winning hit in the second game of Friday’s double header being example A and his game winning RBI in a 1-0 win over Wake Forest on April 13th being exhibit B.

But Krieger’s bat is more important than just those two game winning hits as evidenced by the fact that Krieger has come to the plate with 139 runners on base this season – more than Garrett Boulware – and the third most on the team.

It’s no coincidence that Clemson is 18-6 over those 24 games when Krieger has batted anywhere from 6th to 9th. It seems that no matter his place in the lineup, runners are on when Krieger steps to the plate and the difference between .212 and .286 can mean winning and losing a game.

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I try to learn something new everyday, so if anyone can tell me what a “team unearned run” is I’m all ears. I’ve never heard of such a thing, but there it was in the box score from Saturday’s game. Four of them in Georgia Tech’s 10 run 5th inning: “EVANS homered to left field, 2 RBI, team unearned;”.

Apparently, under this concept the pitcher is charged with an earned run, but the team is charged with an unearned run – at least that’s the only way I could get the official stats on clemsontigers.com to make sense. How the same run can be charged as earned against the pitcher, but unearned for the team is beyond my pay grade. But, if you look at the “ER” column on the stats page you see that the total is listed as 136. Add up the numbers and you get 140.

If one of my readers has any insight or a link it would certainly be appreciated. Until I can decode the official scoring of unearned team runs the pitching stats totals here (mainly ERA) will differ slightly from the official ones issued by Clemson. For instance, I show the teams ERA at 3.15 (and the individual numbers are correct and total to this number), however Clemson shows the number at 3.06 due to these 4 “unearned team runs”.

Patrick Andrews had another good outing on Friday, giving up 1 run on 2 hits and a walk in 3 and two thirds innings in a 4-3 come from behind victory over Georgia Tech.

Andrews WHIP is down to 0.91, but what’s interesting is the right handed Andrews’ dominance of left handed batters. Lefties are batting .107 against Andrews (3 for 28) and Andrews has not walked any of the 28 lefties faced while striking out 6. Conversely, Andrews is walking 9.5% of the right handers he’s faced, while only striking out 5 of 63.

Baseball logic says pitchers typically fare better against batters from the same side as they throw – right handed pitchers tend to fare better against right handed batters – but not in Andrews’ case.
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Clate Schmidt continues to struggle as the third starter. Schmidt’s numbers are getting ugly and one has to wonder if Jack Leggett will try another option in that spot on Sunday. Andrews got a start early in the season and failed miserably, but I wonder if he, or perhaps Jonathan Meyer, will get an opportunity in place of Schmidt sooner rather than later.

With no midweek game this week the bullpen should be rested and ready come game 3 and Maryland might be the team for another starter to get his feet wet, especially playing at Clemson.

Stats Through 41 – Oddities and Notes

Zack Erwin

Not a lot changed in the 1 game since the last iteration of these stats. The Tigers won a mid-week game, improved their batting average against lefties, and failed to hit the ball out of the park. Clemson got good pitching, a good deal of it from freshmen, which is emerging as a theme for the 2013 season.

Clemson’s 5 freshmen pitchers are now 11-4 on the season with a 3.07 ERA in 152.1 innings. By the way, that 152.1 innings is 41% of the innings thrown by Tiger pitchers this year. The future on the mound is bright.

The Tigers have 3 pitchers with opponents batting averages of under .200 (Patrick Andrews, Matt Campbell, Zack Erwin) and two with WHIPs under 1 (Andrews and Erwin).

All is not well on the mound though, as Sunday starter Clate Schmidt’s numbers continue to get larger and the once unhittable Kyle Schnell has fallen back to earth.

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Hopefully, Wednesday’s outburst brought Garrett Boulware out of his semi-slump. Boulware is batting .315 on the season, but raking right handers at a .329 clip.

Boulware is far and away the team leader in homeruns and RBI and has a chance to win the clubs triple crown (just made that up).

Thomas Brittle’s average is down to .253 and while everyone else seemed to be circling the bases Brittle was flying out 3 times. The Tigers need Brittle on the bases where he adds pressure to the defense.


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Tyler Slaton (.392), Steve Wilkerson (.310) and Boulware (.300) are all at or above .300 vs. left handers, but that can be a misleading stat considering what happened in Coral Gables last weekend.

On the flip side, Kevin Bradley is 0 for 12 against lefties and continues to struggle in spot duty (.125 in 32 at bats) and outside of Boulware’s 2 homeruns in 70 at bats, the Tigers have 1 homerun in 601 at bats vs. lefthanded pitchers.


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Stats Through 40 – Tigers Tumble in Coral Gables

Daniel Gossett

While the Tigers struggled as a team in Coral Gables, one player that didn’t struggle was Daniel Gossett. Gossett tossed 7 shutout innings, striking out 10 while walking 2 on Friday night.

Gossett lowered his ERA to 2.56, his WHIP to 1.17 and his opponents’ batting average to .218.
The young man they call “Goose” has been equal opportunity tough – righties are batting .216 against him, while the left handers are at .220.

On the flip side, Sunday starter Clate Schmidt is getting hit equally from both sides of the plate – .339 from the right and .337 from the left.

Schmidt has been an almost season long starter, but his ERA (4.53), WHIP (1.86) and opponents’ batting average (.339) make you wonder if Schmidt has hit a wall or is it simply a bump in an otherwise decent freshman campaign?

Out of the bullpen, Patrick Andrews (0.93 WHIP, .188 opponents BA), Zack Erwin (0.99 WHIP, .188 opponents BA) and Matt Campbell (1.06 WHIP, .175 opponents BA) continue to impress along with Scott Firth.

Gossett struck out 10 of the first 24 Hurricanes he faced on Friday, but Clemson pitching did not strike out any of the last 80 Miami batters faced in the series. 0.

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There was little to cheer about on the offensive side of the ball coming out of Miami. 2 runs in 3 games will do that to you.

The Tigers faced almost exclusively left handers over the weekend and the team average against lefties dropped from .274 to .257 over the course of 3 days.

Out of the 9 players in Sunday’s batting order 4 are batting .235 or lower against lefties.

The Tigers aren’t hitting for average or power against port-siders. Outside of Garrett Boulware’s 2 homeruns in 68 at bats vs. left handers, the entire rest of the team has 1 homerun in 582 at bats.

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This doesn’t portend well for the Tigers down the line. Facing quality lefties it’s going to be tough to string 3 or 4 hits together to score multiple runs in an inning.

The occasional 2 or 3 run homer is something that the Tigers don’t get against lefties in 2013 and that could come back to haunt in the postseason.

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Stats Through 37 and a Curious Decision By Leggett

Shane Kennedy

Rarely do I question the moves made (or not made) by coaches, no matter the sport, but I found myself wondering why Jack Leggett left Zack Erwin in to face the right handed batting Pat Blair of Wake Forest on Sunday.

It’s not that Erwin hasn’t pitched well against right-handers, they were batting .235 against him entering that at bat. It was that Leggett had better options (assuming there are no injuries that I am not aware of) at a crucial point in the game with a sweep hanging in the balance.

Matt Campbell has held right handed batters to a .188 average. Mike Kent has held righties to a .190 average. Kyle Schnell has allowed a slightly higher average (.239) vs. right handers, but is there any doubt that his sidearm delivery would disrupt Blair’s routine at the plate?

Not only that, but looking at the Wake Forest roster tells me that the Deacons options were limited if Leggett made the call for a righty and Wake wanted a left handed batter to face a right handed pitcher.

It all worked out in the end and hindsight is 20/20, but it’s one of the few decisions Leggett has made this season that I question.

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When things are going good, things go good. It seems like Clemson has a different hero or combination of heroes every day. On Tuesday John McGibbon broke a tie in the 9th against Western Carolina with a single. On Wednesday it was Tyler Krieger singling in the winning run against Presbyterian. On Friday, Boulware homered in the first and Daniel Gossett, Patrick Andrews and Matt Campbell held Wake to 2 runs. On Saturday Krieger had the only RBI as 4 Tiger pitchers shut out the Deacons and on Sunday it was Steven Duggar’s 2 run homerun in the bottom of the 11th.

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This array of clutch performances bodes well for the Tigers. Early in the season it appeared Clemson was overly dependent on Boulware. Thirty seven games in, Boulware is still the engine that makes the Tigers go, but Clemson has proven they can win when Boulware has a less than perfect day.


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Stats Through 34: Slaton Raking Lefties, Baum Struggles, Who leads in WHIP?

Patrick Andrews

I tend to focus on positive trends and there will be some of those in this post, but we’ll also explore some not-so-positive trends that are developing.

Quick, without looking at the numbers below tell me which Clemson pitcher currently owns the lowest WHIP on the team? Matthew Crownover? Nope. Zack Erwin? No. Then it’s got to be Daniel Gossett or Kyle Schnell. No and no.

The answer is Patrick Andrews, who has had a few good outings in the last several weeks. Andrews gave up the go-ahead run against PC on Wednesday, but the Tigers fought back to win. Andrews hasn’t pitched a lot, but in his last 6 1/3 innings he’s given up 1 run and only 4 hits over 4 appearances.

While, left handed batters are batting only .105 vs. Andrews there are some others on the staff who have not had much success against lefties. Jonathan Meyer (.481 BA), Mike Kent (.414) and Clate Schmidt (.343) have all struggled against left handers.

Besides the aforementioned Andrews, Zack Erwin (.149) and Matt Campbell (.188) have both had success against left handers.

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Garrett Boulware has had a bit of a drop off, going 4 for his last 22, including 1 for 12 at Boston College last weekend. While Boulware is hitting a hefty .358 against right handed pitchers, his average against southpaws has dropped to .283. That said, Boulware is the engine that makes the Clemson offense go and he has 2 of the 3 Tiger homeruns off of LHPs.

I mentioned earlier in the week that Tyler Slaton has taken off in the last 16, now 18 games. While there are some spots in the lineup struggling against lefthanders, Slaton is raking to the tune of .444 in 36 at bats against port siders.


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I’m beating the proverbial dead horse here and feel like I’m piling on a bit, but we finally saw Jay Baum’s frustration get to him on Wednesday. Baum came to the plate 3 times against Presbyterian with the bases loaded in each at bat, twice with less than two outs, and couldn’t get one run home.

Baum has only 6 RBI in 117 at bats with a total of 102 men on base. I’m not trying to be humorous when I say that’s hard to do. The law of averages says Baum is due for some good luck, but he looked like a player that had lost confidence on Wednesday.

For comparison sake, Boulware has 30 RBI in 120 at bats with a total of 101 men on base.

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Stats Through 32

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• Despite going 1 for 12 in Chestnut Hill, Garrett Boulware still had two RBI and scored 2 runs. It’s been that kind of year for Boulware, who saw his average dip to .327. Boulware still far and away leads the team by knocking in 25% of the runners on base during his at bats.

• 16 games ago Tyler Slaton was hitting .125 with 7 strikeouts in 16 at bats. 16 games later Slaton is at .351, including a hefty .517 against lefties.

• Matthew Crownover’s control has been remarkable. Crownover has walked only 7 of 134 batters faced and has lowered his WHIP to 1.07 in 33 and 2/3rd innings.

• Clemson’s rotation for the BC series was sophomore, freshman, freshman. Will it stay that way this weekend? I’m not sure, but Crownover did nothing to hurt his chances and the success of the freshmen bodes well for the Tigers near future.

• Opponents are batting .184 against Zack Erwin (another freshman), including a .154 mark for left-handers. Erwin’s WHIP has dipped below 1 (0.94) and he has given up only 16 hits over 25 and 2/3rds innings and covering 101 batters faced.

• The Clemson bullpen has some outstanding control pitchers and K/BB ratios. Mike Kent has struck out 9 while walking 2, Kyle Scnell has 13 strikeouts and 3 walks and Johnathan Meyer tops the list with 20 strikeouts and 2 walks (including 1 start with 6 Ks).

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Updated Stats – Something Old, Something New

Garrett Boulware

For those interested I’ve got the usual statistics below, but it’s been just one game since the last update, so no earth shattering changes there.

I’ve mentioned the new thing on Twitter several times, but what is below has a twist to it. Basic baseball statistics tell us who has the most RBI, but not who has been most successful at knocking in their teammates given the varying number of opportunities presented to each player.

In general, your 3, 4 and 5 batters are going to have more RBI opportunities for obvious reasons, but that’s not necessarily the case for Clemson.

Jay Baum has batted 2nd for a large part of the season and has more runners on base during his at bats than Garrett Boulware, as does Steve Wilkerson, Steven Duggar and John McGibbon.

The formula I used for RBI% is straight forward: (RBI-HR)/ROB. The reason for subtracting the homeruns is pretty obvious – the batter was not on base.


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This formula is going to favor the homerun hitters. For example, if Boulware comes up with 2 on and hits a homerun he is going to get 2 RBI (not including the one subtracted for knocking himself in). Duggar on the other hand, might single and only get 1 RBI in a similar situation. They’re both successful, but one gets “double” the credit. After all he knocked in twice as many runs. There are different levels of success.

For these and other reasons this stat should be used as simply one of many, not a be all and end all type stat.

That said, knowing that Boulware leads the team in average, homeruns, RBI, slugging AND RBI% tells you something about the year he is having.

One the negative side of the ledger, I’ve pointed out a couple times that Jay Baum is having a horrific year at the plate. It’s not just the .218 batting average, but the fact that Baum has only 6 RBI despite coming to the plate with 84 runners on base.

For reference sake, Tyler Slaton has one less RBI than Baum despite having to come to the plate with 45 less runners on base.


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Stats Through 28 Games

Zack Erwin

Here are some highlights from this weeks stats:

  • Both Garrett Boulware and Shane Kennedy are batting at or above .300 against right handed and left handed pitchers.
  • Jay Baum singled and ended up scoring the winning run Monday night at UNC, but Baum continues to struggle with a .218 batting average. Baum also has 6 RBI in 101 at bats and has knocked in only 14% of the runners in scoring position during his at bats.
  • Steven Duggar has knocked in 40.5% of runners in scoring position, just ahead of Garrett Boulware (40.4%).
  • The bullpen, especially long relievers Mike Kent, Zack Erwin and Scott Firth had a good weekend despite the series loss at UNC.
  • Starters combined for only 9.2 innings and a 12.10 ERA during the UNC series.
  • Relievers combined for 17.1 innings and a 3.12 ERA during the same series.

 

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Gossett, Boulware Pace Tigers – Stats Through 25 Games

Daniel Gossett

The solid 3 man rotation from the early season has turned into a one man show – Daniel Gossett.  The sophomore right-hander enters the North Carolina series with a 1.33 ERA, .192 opponents batting average, a 0.96 WHIP and only 11 walks in the 163 batters (6.75%) he’s faced.

While Gosset has been tough against righties (.213 BA), he’s simply dominated left-handed batters who are batting .154 in 57 plate appearances.

Freshman Zack Erwin gave up 2 runs in a mid-week loss to Georgia, but opponents are still hitting only .167 against him and Erwin has a team best WHIP of 0.89 over 18 innings.

The left-handed Erwin has faced right handed batters 59% of the time and held righties to a .139 batting average and .244 OBP.

With a nod to Tim Bourret I’ll mention that right-handed batters are batting .256 against Tiger pitching and left-handed batters are batting .256 against Tiger pitching.


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Garrett Boulware continues to pace the Tigers at the plate in equal opporunity fashion. Boulware is batting .372 vs. righties, .342 vs. lefties and .358 overall.

While the foursome of Wilkerson (.300), Slaton (.298), Brittle (.295) and Duggar (.293) are at, or flirting with the .300 mark I wanted to focus on the freshman, Duggar, for a minute.

I mentioned last week how Garrett Boulware was knocking in over 40% of the runners in scoring position during his at bats and that’s still true – Boulware sits at 43.2%. Duggar, with less RBIs (15 to Boulware’s 23), has been even more prolific with runners in scoring position, knocking in 43.8% of those runners. Duggar has less RBIs because of less opportunities with runners on while batting in the two spot than Boulware has batting cleanup.

It’s a classic case of the raw number not telling the entire story.

One hole in Duggar’s game, at least at this early point in his career, is that he has only 5 walks in 106 plate appearances.

This is not an issue that Duggar has the corner on as Wilkinson, Slaton, McGibbon and Krieger are all also under 7% and the Tigers are under 10% as a team.


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Updated Baseball Stats Through 23 Games

Garrett Boulware

Garrett Boulware continues his remarkable run through the 2013 season.  Boulware is batting .370 against all pitching, .405 vs. right-handers and .333 vs. lefties.  Moreover,  Boulware has knocked in 46.3% of the runners in scoring position during his at bats.

Boulware’s OPS of 1.049 is far and away the leading number among Tiger regulars.

Not to be outdone, Thomas Brittle has been on a tear since dropping out of the leadoff spot and is up to .321 overall.  Brittle is now at .304 vs. left-handers, while coming in at .343 vs. righties.

As a team, Clemson is now at .260 vs. left-handers after being below the Mendoza line for much of the first 4 or 5 weeks of the season.


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Daniel Gossett continues his mastery.  Opponents are now batting .192 against Gossett (lefties are at .154), his ERA is 1.33 and his WHIP is 0.96.

While Clate Schmidt and Scott Firth have struggled, freshman Zack Erwin is breaking out. 

Erwin has earned 2 wins and a save in his last 3 appearances, covering 10 and a third innings, while allowing only 1 run.

Erwin now owns a 0.59 ERA, .160 opponents batting average and 0.78 WHIP.
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