January 28, 2015

Basketball Metrics – 19 Games

JSmith

Complete through 19 games.

Notes:

  • Clemson’s pace against Wake (1.64 possessions per minute) was their highest of the ACC games to date and highest overall since the Robert Morris game.
  • Clemson’s pace has increased in each of the last 3 games.
  • Donte Grantham has taken 100 3 pointers and made 27.  55.6% of Grantham’s shots are beyond the arc.
  • Two surprising names continue to lead Tigers on the offensive boards: Sidy Djitte and Josh Smith.  Djitte is corralling more than a quarter (25.5%) of the available offensive rebounds while Smith is at 16.2%.
  • A direct result of all those offensive rebounds is that Djitte and Smith lead the Tigers in free throw rate (free throw attempts/field goal attempts). Djitte is at 1.083 and Smith is .969.
  • Another category that Djitte “leads” in is fouls per minute played.  Djitte commits a personal foul for every 4.3 minutes on the court.  Landry Nnoko commits a foul every 7.7 minutes on the floor.Basketball 2014-15 Sum 19Basketball 2014-15 dUsage 19Basketball 2014-15 Game by Game 19Basketball 2014-15 Pace 19Basketball 2014-15 Comps 19

Quarterback – Snaps Lost and Returning

Clemson vs South Carolina State during the fourth quarter at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, S.C.

Who’s #2? We all know who will begin 2015 as the starting quarterback.  The bigger question is after suffering three injuries that caused him to miss time (including the spring game) in 2014 will Deshaun Watson make it through 2015 from start to finish (whenever that may be).  For that reason the biggest question for me heading into the spring is who will back up Watson.

As we saw last season with Clemson (and Ohio State for that matter) the answer to that question can have huge ramifications for your season and program.

QB Snaps 2014

Whoever is #2 will have minimal or 0 snaps under their belt and certainly 0 meaningful snaps.

Vote in the poll to the right for who you think will be the #2 quarterback in 2015.

Looks at other positions: Offensive Line & Defensive Line

Defensive Line – Snaps Lost and Coming Back

Shaq Lawson

Defensive lines like the one Clemson sported in 2014 stem from talent, recruiting, “want to”, coaching and perhaps some patience as raw freshmen turn into seasoned vets. It’s a never ending cycle in college football and while the Tigers have pieces returning along the defensive line the losses are significant.

Many wonder who will replace Vic Beasley.  I wonder who will replace Grady Jarrett.  Undersized, undervalued and underrated, Jarrett was the heart and soul in the middle of the top rated Clemson defense.  One piece of evidence of Jarrett’s domination can be found in the number of times he was responsible for stopping an opponent on 3rd and 4th downs. DL Snaps 2014

Basketball Metrics – 18 Games

Brad Brownell

Complete through 18 games.

2014-15 Basketball Sum 182014-15 Basketball Usage Graph 182014-15 Basketball Usage Chart 182014-15 Basketball Pace 182014-15 Basketball Game by Game 182014-15 Basketball Comps 18

Offensive Line – Snaps Lost and Coming Back

Clemson University Tigers football at North Carolina State University at Carter Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina, Thursday September 19, 2013.

Here’s a look at the 2014 snaps along the offensive line broken out by expected returnees and the departed.

Numbers include 2014 snaps only (not career snaps) and only players that played at least one snap.

Meant to be more of a gauge of recent experience vs. depth (i.e. does not include redshirts or incoming freshman).
OL Snaps 2014

Final 2014 Quarterback Drive Charts

DW Super

These metrics favor Deshaun Watson, of course, but there is one to keep in mind when thinking ahead to next season. With few exceptions Cole Stoudt faced the tougher defenses on the schedule (at least statistically), which is reflected in the “Defensive Ranking” column.  The average defense (per drive) that Stoudt faced was 49.0 while Watson faced defenses with an average ranking of 97.1.

You could argue that Stoudt faced defenses that were twice as difficult as Watson, several on the road. Stoudt played most of Georgia (17), most of South Carolina State (150), most of Louisville (6), most of Georgia Tech (79), all of Boston College (11), Syracuse (26) and Wake Forest (40), Georgia State (116) and Oklahoma (51).  Meanwhile Watson got majority of snaps against Florida State (61), UNC (117), N.C. State (46) and South Carolina (92).

Deshaun Watson

Watson Drives 2014 Final

That’s not to say Watson wouldn’t have performed better than Stoudt given the opportunity against the better teams, we don’t know that (though we can assume). What we know is Stoudt faced better defenses, in general.

For reference, Watson averaged 6.8 yards per play which would be in the top 5 in the nation in 2014 and if he is able to accomplish that in 2015 good things will no doubt happen.

Cole StoudtStoudt Drives 2014 Final

All that said, Watson had better numbers in all the major categories: Yards per play, explosive play %, points per drive, % of drives that ended in touchdowns and third down conversions.

Notes:

  • The highlight package I posted previously shows why we all should be excited about Deshaun Watson, but maintaining a 6.8 yard per play average as a full time starter may be difficult (as pointed out above that would be top 5ish).
  • I removed some lesser interesting columns for readability.
  • Drives included are only those that Stoudt and Watson quarterbacked the entire series.  Therefore, drives started by Watson and finished by Stoudt against Louisville, Georgia Tech and South Carolina are excluded.
  • These numbers may not equal the yards and plays on the official game stats for several reasons. For example, if Clemson starts at the 25, gains 60 yards of offense and the opponent has a 15 yard penalty the Tigers are officially credited with a 75 yard drive. The numbers here reflect the total offense on a drive – 60 in the case above.  The opposite happens if Clemson has an offensive penalty – yards are added (assuming they are gained back).  Starting from the 25, having a 5 yard penalty and ultimately scoring a touchdown would result in 80 yards here (though officially listed as 75). There are other reasons for differences, but these are the main ones.

Basketball Metrics (Abbreviated) – 17 Games

Jaron Blossomgame

Complete through 17 games.

Notes:

  • Sidy Djitte is averaging a foul every 4.4 minutes of playing time and an offensive rebound every 6.4 minutes of play.
  • Landry Nnoko is averaging a foul every 7.8 minutes of playing time.
  • Not splitting the atom, but Jaron Blossomgame has been far and away the Tigers most effective and efficient offensive player. Blossomgame has been used on 32.8% of the Tigers possessions, but has accounted for 44.6% of their offense during his time on the court.
  • After the pace had slowed over the last 5 games, it picked up a bit against Syracuse coming in at 1.45 possessions per minute.Basketball Sum 2014-15 17Basketball UsageD 2014-15 17Basketball Game by Game 2014-15 17Basketball Pace 2014-15 17

Can’t Wait!

Clemson Football -  Deshaun Watson

A look at a few of the passing highlights from Deshaun Watson’s freshman season starting with the second pass of his college career when the color analyst said, “Wow!”

Basketball Metrics – 16 Games

JB Drive 2014

Complete through 16 games.

Notable:

  • Tigers had their slowest pace of the season (1.31 possessions per minute), fewest assists and lowest assists % vs. Virginia
  • Jaron Blossomgame continues to lead in usage differential and by a large amount.
  • Sidy Djitte remains a force on the offensive boards, grabbing 24.2% of the offensive rebounds available while in the game.
    Basketball 2014-15 Summary 16Basketball 2014-15 Usage Graph 16Basketball 2014-15 Usage Chart 16Basketball 2014-15 ORB PCT 16Basketball 2014-15 2 PT 16Basketball 2014-15 3 PT 16Basketball 2014-15 FT 16Basketball 2014-15 FTR 16Basketball 2014-15 Assist Pct 16Basketball 2014-15 FG PCT 16
    Basketball 2014-15 Pace 16Basketball 2014-15 Game by Game 16
  • Basketball 2014-15 Comps 16

Tackles by Class

Clemson at Florida State U  23-17 loss to FSU  Clemson's Mackensie Alexander looks toward the Florida State sideline after breaking up a pass to Florida State's Rashad Greene during the second quarter at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida.

The numbers below includes tackles from the top 20 tacklers (total tackles) from 2014 and really shows the veteran leadership at every level – line, linebackers and backs – that helped Clemson register the top ranked defense in the nation.

Only two freshmen, Mackenzie Alexander and Dorian O’Daniel, were in the top 20 in tacklers which is reflected in the 7% total of tackles for that class.

Tackles by Class 2014